"Active" Portfolio Info
What is an "active" portfolio & what positions am I
currently recommending for the "active" Portfolio?

  • This is the first and potentially the most important part of
    my investment philosophy depending on implementation.

  • My active portfolio is concentrated (approximately 10
    positions), has the ability to go both long and short, can
    use options to "leverage" or "hedge", and finally turns over
    more frequently than a long-term portfolio (core portfolio).

  • This approach offers more return but "can" entail more
    risk!  In building and profiling my active portfolio to
    subscribers of my newsletter, I will actually try to reduce
    risk versus the market by using a long/short approach and
    by choosing securities that do not correlate highly to each
    other.

  • It is my belief that an active portfolio should only be piece
    of an investors's overall asset allocation (10 to 30% in my
    opinion) depending on a client's age, risk tolerance, time
    till retirement, and ability to manage a portfolio.  Having
    said this, most clients are way too diversified (see my
    investment philosphy) including a lot of weathly clients I
    have advised over the years.

  • For illustrative purposes, I will use a $10,000 portfolio as
    a "model" for my active portfolio.  Investors and
    subscribers can scale this portfolio according to their own
    investable assets.
"To build real wealth, especially in an environment of strong monetary and
credit growth, investors need to do two things well.  First, avoid losing
money.  Second, take concentrated positions in ideas with conviction...."
Okay, okay....you have read this far, so you I will share a
few positions I am looking at in my "active" portfolio, both
on the long and short sides.  I will profile all of these
names more in depth with my first newsletter.

  • On the long side, I am looking at several mining stocks
    including TGB, GSS, GMO, & MMG.  TGB is the least
    risky due to their ongoing profitable copper mine.  GSS &
    GMO both have their own risks, but for different reasons.  
    GSS is a gold-mining company getting a majority of their
    revenues from Africa.  GMO is a moly producer with a
    much more stable operating environment in Nevada, but
    their stock has run up a good amount this year already
    (see my gains in my long-term "core" portfolio".)  MMG, a
    zinc miner with some silver exposure, may be the most
    profitable of the bunch in the long-term, but it is the
    earliest in terms of production.

  • On the short side, I am considering shorting FED & DSL
    due to their Alt-A mortgage exposure in California.  I still
    think housing market still has another shoe to drop.  

  • Additionally, on the short-side, I will look at shorting MA,
    AAPL, & AMZN once they technically break their
    uptrends.  I think each of these companies is overvalued
    from a fundamental perspective, but they are too
    dangerous to short at these levels (especially given the
    blow-out moves on earnings from RIMM and ISRG).